News: Visit our Townhall Meetup site: http://townhall.meetup.com/99/
 
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
May 18, 2012, 10:14:15 PM
*

Recent

Your Info

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 18, 2012, 10:14:15 PM

Login with username, password and session length

Statistics

Members
Stats
  • Total Posts: 40602
  • Total Topics: 5158
  • Online Today: 18
  • Online Ever: 252
  • (April 10, 2011, 07:49:21 AM)
Users Online
Users: 0
Guests: 18
Total: 18

Links

Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 ... 233
  Print  
Topic: Global Warming Watch  (Read 100744 times)
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2005, 10:50:15 PM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

The truth about global warming - it's the Sun that's to blame
By Michael Leidig and Roya Nikkhah
(Filed: 18/07/2004)

Global warming has finally been explained: the Earth is getting hotter because the Sun is burning more brightly than at any time during the past 1,000 years, according to new research.

A study by Swiss and German scientists suggests that increasing radiation from the sun is responsible for recent global climate changes.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml.../ixnewstop.html
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #31 on: March 04, 2005, 10:59:31 PM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

Irrefutable proof of global warming.

Avg temp in Albany Ny 1820 = 49.0
Avg temp in Albany Ny 2004 = 47.9

This is irrefutable proof, temperatures have increased a total of -1.1 degrees over the last 184 years!!!

The sky is falling!!!!

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/climatef/annualwx.htm
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2005, 11:15:55 PM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

More proof of global warming

Avg Temp Philly in 1878 54.9
Avg Temp Philly in 2000 54.6

Global warming of -0.3 degree over 126 years!!!

Avg temp between 1874 and 1933 = 54.6
Avg Temp between 1933 and 2000 = 54.8

And there was a lot of construction in Philly over that time.

http://www.fi.edu/weather/data2/wthrmean.txt
« Last Edit: March 04, 2005, 11:23:41 PM by AdamSmith » Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #33 on: March 05, 2005, 01:11:17 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/~johnc/GlobalW...arming/upperair

But how can this be? If the surface is warming, global climate models suggest the mid-troposphere should also be warming. One suggestion is the models may be incorrectly structured.

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/~johnc/Warming.html


The upper atmosphere is cooling
« Last Edit: March 05, 2005, 01:12:37 AM by AdamSmith » Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #34 on: March 05, 2005, 01:16:08 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

Sun is the real cause of the warming

http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn4321

 
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #35 on: March 05, 2005, 01:16:37 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

Sea level isn't rising
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #36 on: March 05, 2005, 01:23:07 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

Great PPT on Sun Spots

http://www.hs.uni-hamburg.de/cs13/day1/03_Solanki.ppt


 
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #37 on: March 05, 2005, 01:23:42 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

More
« Last Edit: March 05, 2005, 01:24:07 AM by AdamSmith » Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #38 on: March 05, 2005, 01:24:32 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

http://www.hs.uni-hamburg.de/cs13/day1/03_Solanki.ppt
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #39 on: March 05, 2005, 01:24:51 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

http://www.hs.uni-hamburg.de/cs13/day1/03_Solanki.ppt
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #40 on: March 05, 2005, 01:31:17 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

http://personals.galaxyinternet.net/tunga/...obalWarming.pdf

Mother Nature produces 95%+ of all atmospheric CO2 so it is only logical to hypothesize that a small change in Mother Nature is most likely responsible for the measured change in CO2. Here is one Hypothesis.

http://personals.galaxyinternet.net/tunga/...obalWarming.pdf
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #41 on: March 05, 2005, 09:42:09 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

The best way to explain the mistake of the environomentalist is to explain it this way.

Assume a person runs 10 miles a day and loses 20 lbs. To correctly model this observation one would say that losing weight is a function of funning, meaning that the persons running CAUSED the weight loss. Running preceeds the weight loss. WHat the enviros do is they claim that losign weight CAUSED the person to run. They reverse the dependent and independent variable. That way, they will always have data to support their conclusion, but the model doesn't make any sense.

Weightloss is a function of exercise correct model  WtLoss=f(Exercise)

Exercise is a function of weight loss incorrect model excersize=f(WtLoss)

They mix up the dependent and independent variable. They fail statistics 101, and yet people believe their junk science.
« Last Edit: March 05, 2005, 09:44:43 AM by AdamSmith » Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #42 on: March 05, 2005, 09:50:20 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

This is a site explaining statistical modeling.

http://symptomresearch.nih.gov/chapter_8/s...c4/cess4pg6.htm

http://symptomresearch.nih.gov/chapter_8/s...c2/cess2pg1.htm

http://symptomresearch.nih.gov/chapter_8/s...c7/cess7pg1.htm

http://planetmath.org/encyclopedia/Regress...ssionModel.html

http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pm...tion4/pmd44.htm

http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pm...ion4/pmd442.htm

 
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #43 on: March 05, 2005, 09:55:03 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

This is the statistical problem of Global Warming, it is a misspecified model.

http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pm...ion4/pmd446.htm

http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pm...md33.htm#rep.r1

http://edf5481-01.fa01.fsu.edu/OnProof.html


 
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
« Reply #44 on: March 05, 2005, 09:55:21 AM »
Old Major Offline
Verified Member
CTH Professor

WWW
*****
Reputation: +0/-0
Posts: 2275




Ignore

If one variable causes a second variable, they should correlate (have a real relationship). Causation implies correlation.

However, two variables could be associated without having a causal relationship. For example, such a spurious relationship (apparent, but not truly causal) could occur because both the supposed independent variable and the supposed dependent variable are caused by a third variable. The apparent correlation between ice cream consumption and the number of assaults occurs statistically because the hot temperatures of summer cause both ice cream consumption and assaults to increase. Thus, correlation does NOT imply causation.

  Recall that causes are called INDEPENDENT VARIABLES. If one variable truly causes a second, the cause is the independent variable.

Independent variables are often also called explanatory variables or predictors.

Effects are called DEPENDENT VARIABLES. We explain what has caused dependent variables.

Dependent variables are also sometimes called outcome or criterion variables.

Two variables may be associated but we cannot designate cause and effect. These aresymmetric relationships. In asymmetric relationships, we CAN designate cause and effect.

EXAMPLE: Married people average better mental health than unmarried people. However, we have evidence that marriage promotes mental health AND ALSO that mentally healthy people are more likely to marry. Thus, we can't clearly and unambigously designate cause and effect. This is a symmetric relationship.

http://edf5481-01.fa01.fsu.edu/Guide2.html
Logged
You only live once, make a difference.
 
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 ... 233
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

TinyPortal v1.0 beta 4 © Bloc
Powered by SMF 1.1.16 | SMF © 2011, Simple Machines